📑 Research Notes for 2023-01-09
This week we look at, the possibility of Fed "calls", the debt ceiling debate, the future of the U.S. dollar, and Mexico being the new China.
We conduct extensive investment research and share the most interesting content that we come across every week. Here is a curated list of this week’s top observations.
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The Fed's Warning: Expect More Pain If Markets Keep Betting on Rate Cuts.
According to the latest Federal Reserve minutes, markets will suffer if investors continue to expect rate cuts, as such bets "would complicate the committee's efforts to restore price stability."
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U.S. Lawmakers Turn Attention to US Debt Ceiling.
Investors are intensifying their focus on just when the US government might run up against its borrowing cap.
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U.S Dollar's Role In The Fourth Turning.
The story of 2022 was the U.S Dollar says Brent, long known for his "Dollar milkshake theory". With the Dollar surging all throughout 2022, Brent walks through the effect it had on other markets from bonds, equities and Gold. Warning of the bear market rallies of 2022, Brent remains cautious on risk assets heading into 2023 as the Fed continues tightening financial conditions.
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After China, Globalization May Lead To Mexico.
As American companies recalibrate the risks of relying on Chinese factories to make their goods, some are shifting business to a country far closer to home: Mexico.
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Last Week’s Market Performance Heatmap
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Curated by Joseph Lu, CFA®
Joseph is the founder and a managing director of Conscious Capital Advisors, as well as a CFA® Charterholder.
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The information presented in this newsletter is for educational purposes only and is not a solicitation or recommendation for any specific security, product, service, or investment strategy.
Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or attorney before implementing any strategy or recommendation you may read here.