📑 Research Notes for 2022-07-18
This week, we look at the 2nd inverted yield curve this year, U.S. CPI data, the possibility of a stagflationary debt crisis, and dislocation in oil and gas stocks.
We conduct extensive investment research and share the most interesting content that we come across every week. Here is a curated list of this week’s top observations.
Do not reply to this email with any service requests, contact us for support if needed.
Bond Market Is Flashing a Recession Warning - Again.
A host of other data don’t yet point to an imminent economic recession and much depends on the Federal Reserve achieving the delicate balance of taming inflationary pressures without slamming the brakes on economic growth. Its job just got harder after the June inflation report showed prices rising by 9.1% year over year, the fastest pace since November 1981, as the cost of gasoline, shelter, and groceries surged.
🔗 Source
America's Inflation Problem Gets Worse.
Price increases show no signs of slowing. That will add urgency to the Federal Reserve's aggressive campaign to cool inflation by raising interest rates — heightening the odds the central bank steers the economy into recession.
🔗 Source
Nouriel Roubini: A Stagflationary Debt Crisis Looms.
There is ample reason to worry that major economies like the United States are heading for a recession, accompanied by cascading financial turmoil. Some of the worst elements of both the 1970s and the 2008 crash are now in play, with equity markets likely to move deeper into bear territory.
🔗 Source
Josh Young: Oil and Gas Stocks Are Very Mispriced.
Josh Young, Bison Interests CIO, says oil demand will be higher than expected even if Russia resumes providing oil to the European Union. Young told this to Guy Johnson and Kriti Gupta on "Bloomberg Markets: Americas".
🔗 Source
Last Week’s Market Performance Heatmap
🔗 Source
Curated by Joseph Lu, CFA®
Joseph is the founder and managing director of Conscious Capital Advisors and a CFA® Charterholder.
🔗 Connect with us on LinkedIn, Facebook, or Twitter.
Have a question about what we shared? Email us at info@consciouscapital.pro.
Do not reply to this email with any service requests, contact us for support if needed.
The information presented in this newsletter is for educational purposes only and is not a solicitation or recommendation for any specific security, product, service, or investment strategy.
Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or attorney before implementing any strategy or recommendation you may read here.