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📑 Research Notes for 2022-04-04

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📑 Research Notes for 2022-04-04

This week, we look at the inverted yield curve, the VIX vs. the MOVE, Japanese Central Bank actions, and the Fed's warning of a housing bubble.

Conscious Capital Advisors
Apr 4, 2022
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We conduct extensive investment research and share the most interesting content that we come across every week. Here is a curated list of this week’s top observations.

Do not reply to this email with any service requests, contact us for support if needed.

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Short Video of the Week

🔗 Source


Bonds Flash Recession Sign as Yield Curve Inverts

(Bloomberg)

The U.S. two-year yield briefly exceeded the 10-year Tuesday for the first time since 2019, inverting yet another segment of the Treasury curve. This reinforced the view that Federal Reserve rate increases may cause a recession.

🔗 Source


The Changing Dynamics of Risk Between Stocks and Bonds.

(Disciplined Systematic Global Macro Views)

There is a large divergence between the VIX stock and MOVE bond volatility indices in the last month. The VIX has usually shown more volatility of volatility and larger short-term spikes. The MOVE index is more stable and will not see large spikes. The Ukraine-Russia War forced both indices higher, but the MOVE is now approaching highs while the VIX has fallen to levels seen last year.

🔗 Source


Bank of Japan Seen Winning Bond Market Battle

(Bloomberg)

Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda is sticking to his guns when it comes to capping long-term bond yields even as the central hank launched a 3-day bond buying program that has been adding steam to the yen's recent slide.

🔗 Source


Federal Reserve of Dallas issues warning over "brewing U.S. housing bubble.”

(CBS)

Free House Lights Turned on Stock Photo

The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, is signaling that the property market is showing "signs of a brewing U.S. housing bubble."

🔗 Source


Last Week’s Market Performance Heatmap

(FinViz)

🔗 Source


Curated by Joseph Lu, CFA®

Joseph is the founder and managing director of Conscious Capital Advisors and a CFA® Charterholder.

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Have a question about what we shared? Email us at info@consciouscapital.pro.

Do not reply to this email with any service requests, contact us for support if needed.

The information presented in this newsletter is for educational purposes only and is not a solicitation or recommendation for any specific security, product, service, or investment strategy.

Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or attorney before implementing any strategy or recommendation you may read here.

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