📑 Research Notes for 2022-01-24
This week, we look at increasing geopolitical tensions in Ukraine, the coming "end" of the Fed superbubble, and crypto & web3.
We conduct extensive investment research and share the most interesting content that we come across every week. Here is a curated list of this week’s top observations.
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Russia Moves Troops Westward Amid Ukraine Tensions.
(AP News)
Russia is a sending an unspecified number of troops from the country’s far east to Belarus for major war games, officials said Tuesday, a deployment that will further beef up Russian military presence near Ukraine amid Western fears of a planned invasion.
🔗 Source
U.S. Market Approaches End of ‘Superbubble,’ says Jeremy Grantham.
(GMO)
All 2-sigma equity bubbles in developed countries have broken back to trend. But before they did, a handful went on to become superbubbles of 3-sigma or greater: in the U.S. in 1929 and 2000 and in Japan in 1989. There were also superbubbles in housing in the U.S. in 2006 and Japan in 1989. All five of these superbubbles corrected all the way back to trend with much greater and longer pain than average.
Today in the U.S. we are in the fourth superbubble of the last hundred years.
🔗 Source
Bitcoin, Crypto, and Web3 Teeter on the Brink of a $2 Trillion Bubble.
(The Times)
Cryptocurrencies might reinvent the way we live and work, but the fortunes currently being made could come crashing down.
🔗 Source
Last Week’s Market Performance Heatmap
(FinViz)
🔗 Source
Curated by Joseph Lu, CFA®
Joseph has over a decade of experience as an investment professional, primarily in quantitative analysis and portfolio management roles. He is the founder and managing director of Conscious Capital Advisors and a CFA® Charterholder. The CFA charter is a globally respected, graduate-level investment credential by the CFA Institute, a global association of more than 90,000 investment professionals working in over 133 countries.
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The information presented in this newsletter is for educational purposes only and is not a solicitation or recommendation for any specific security, product, service, or investment strategy.
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