📑 Research Notes for 2021-10-04
This week, we look at rising interest rates, increasing rents, white hot manufacturing numbers, and the power crisis in China.
We conduct extensive investment research and share the most interesting content that we come across every week. Here is a curated list of this week’s top observations.
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Is The Recent Rise In Interest Rates Noise Or Signal?
(The Capital Speculator)
After a summer of drifting lower and then holding in a range, the benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield is running higher this month. Does the jump mark a regime change after decades of trending lower? Or is this one more bout of noise? No one can be certain one way or the other, but we can and should manage our expectations by looking a variety of sources for perspective.
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U.S. Rents Are Increasing at ‘Shocking’ Rates of More Than 10%
(Bloomberg)
Rent data for the past two months show no sign yet of the usual seasonal dip at this time of year, following peaks early in the summer, when many lease renewals come due. A Zillow Group Inc. index based on the mean of listed rents rose 11.5% in August from a year earlier, with some cities in Florida, Georgia and Washington state seeing increases of more than 25%.Â
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Manufacturing Remains White Hot, While Construction Spending is Mixed.
(Bonddad Blog)
As usual, we started out the month with the forward-looking ISM manufacturing report for September, as well as construction spending for August.
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China’s Power Crisis Moves From the Factory Floor to Homes.
(Bloomberg)
China’s energy crisis is beginning to hit people where they live, adding the risk of social instability to an economic slowdown and global supply chain disruptions.
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Curated by Joseph Lu, CFA®
Joseph has over a decade of experience as an investment professional, primarily in quantitative analysis and portfolio management roles. He is the founder and managing director of Conscious Capital Advisors and a CFA® Charterholder. The CFA charter is a globally respected, graduate-level investment credential by the CFA Institute, a global association of more than 90,000 investment professionals working in over 133 countries.
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